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Post by zuolun on Oct 14, 2014 16:57:52 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Dec 23, 2014 8:21:35 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Jan 12, 2015 5:40:27 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Jan 18, 2015 10:19:04 GMT 7
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Post by oldman on Feb 5, 2015 16:13:00 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Feb 13, 2015 5:15:14 GMT 7
You can’t stop progress, supposedly ~ 12 Feb 2015 "If you want to know where the next bear market is, look around at the people who are enjoying unimaginable wealth. Mr. Market has a habit of correcting things over time." Everything happens for a reason, when there is too much yin and very little yang, nature will correct the imbalance. 八卦 (bagua/the eight trigrams), 
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Post by zuolun on Apr 1, 2015 7:35:00 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Apr 12, 2015 21:21:28 GMT 7
John Rubino: Is the whole world economy slowing down? ~ 8 Apr 2015
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Post by zuolun on Apr 23, 2015 8:16:06 GMT 7
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Post by sptl123 on Apr 23, 2015 9:17:57 GMT 7
Thank you Bro Zuolun for this yet another very good post. I especially like the summary stated in the link you post:  "If the risk-on central bank monetary cocaine trade continues, stocks may loft higher and the VIX, gold and the dollar may all drift lower as volatility and lower-risk assets are avoided in the quickening chase for yield in a negative-interest world.
If the risk-on trade evaporates and risk-off trades gain favor, stocks will be sold off hard, volatility will rocket higher (something we've almost forgotten can happen) and gold and the U.S. dollar will benefit from the flight to safety/central bank cocaine crash trade.
The central bank high is euphoric, the crash and burn equally epic. Be careful what monkey you invite to latch onto your back...." |
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Post by zuolun on Apr 23, 2015 9:40:35 GMT 7
Thank you Bro Zuolun for this yet another very good post. I especially like the summary stated in the link you post: "If the risk-on central bank monetary cocaine trade continues, stocks may loft higher and the VIX, gold and the dollar may all drift lower as volatility and lower-risk assets are avoided in the quickening chase for yield in a negative-interest world.
If the risk-on trade evaporates and risk-off trades gain favor, stocks will be sold off hard, volatility will rocket higher (something we've almost forgotten can happen) and gold and the U.S. dollar will benefit from the flight to safety/central bank cocaine crash trade.
The central bank high is euphoric, the crash and burn equally epic. Be careful what monkey you invite to latch onto your back...." , "gold and the U.S. dollar will benefit from the flight to safety" - Then the Elliott Wave pattern on Gold may materialise. Financial stress is rising – Time to worry? ~ 31 Mar 2015 GOLD ~ The Elliott Wave pattern ~ 30 Jun 2014  Gold Declines on Way to Worst Year Since 1981 as Silver Drops — 31 Dec 2013  圓頂圓底形態圆形顶/圆形底 ( Rounding Top / Rounding Bottom) 圆形顶，即碟形顶（saucer top），属于转向形态，显示大跌市即将来临，后市跌势将会很大。
顾名思义，圆形顶的形态特征是倒转半圆形或碟形，成交量在顶部形成后，开始逐步减少。凡确认圆 形顶见顶形态 ，投资者宜尽快沽货离场，以免所持股份变成“蟹货”。
圆形顶的形成，是股价经过一段升势后，升势开始放缓，每次新高位较上一个高位距离不远。由于升 势放缓，部分 先知先觉的投资者便撤退离场，令卖方力量增加。淡友先在圆形顶部与好友势力对抗，其后在好友数 目逐步减少下 ，淡友就得以渐渐控制局面。股价遂持续下滑，直至淡友全面控制局面后，市场需求转为供过于求， 跌势才会较急 。由于形成过程稍长，有时需数月始完成圆形顶。
个别情况下，即使圆形顶形成，股价也不会实时急跌，仅会反复徘徊，横行发展，这徘徊区称为“碟 柄”或“碗柄 ” 。但由于跌势已成，该“碟柄”或“碗柄”一般很快便被突破，股价会转而向下，朝预期中的下跌趋 势而行。
圆形底，又称碟形底（saucer bottom），属于见底形态，显示跌势已逆转，大升市即将来临，后市升势可以很大。其走势及趋向，与圆形 顶刚好相反。
顾名思义，圆形底的形态特征是倒转半圆形或碟形，成交量在底部形成后，开始逐步减少。凡确认圆 形底见底形态 ，投资者宜待圆形底升势转急初期，才追买股票。
圆形底的形成过程如下：当股价经过一段跌势后，跌势开始放缓，沽售（或沽空）股票的成交量开始 减少。每次新 低位较上一个低位距离不远。由于跌势放缓，部分先知先觉者开始趁低吸纳，收集手法普遍是有耐性 地限价收集， 淡友力量因屡攻不下而开始减少，令圆形底部的成交量亦减少。其后好友数目逐步增加，渐控制局面 ，股价才能逐 步上扬。及好友完全控制局面，市场需求转为求过于供，升势方转急。由于形成过程稍久，往往需时 数月始完成圆 形底形态。
个别情况下，即使圆形底形成，股价并不会实时急升，仅会反复横行徘徊，这徘徊区称为“碟柄”或 “碗柄”。但 当升势既成，这“碟柄”或“碗柄”很快会被突破，股价转而向上，朝预期的上升趋势而行。 |
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Post by sptl123 on Apr 23, 2015 10:42:12 GMT 7
哔!大將军举一反三，佩服佩服。
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Post by zuolun on Sept 16, 2015 11:44:38 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Sept 29, 2015 15:17:19 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Sept 30, 2015 14:35:52 GMT 7
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