Emerging Nations: BRIC and MINT

'China to spark global financial ICE AGE with depression sending markets crashing by 75%' ~ 15 Jan 2016

Have the BRICs hit a wall? The next emerging markets ~ 12 Jan 2016

Is the next recession on its way? ~ 10 Jan 2016

The risky spell of alphabet soup ~ 9 Jan 2016

World bank trims 2016 global growth forecast, warns of ‘perfect storm’ in emerging economies ~ 7 Jan 2016

Recession in Brazil brake the advance of the BRICs

Poor performance of the economy and Russia reflect the outcome of the group, which will not meet traced forecast

By Simone Kafruni
11 Jan 2016

Brasília - The emerging countries have emerged in the past decade, as the engines of the global economy. At the height of euphoria, came to project that with the new order, the production of BRICS wealth - Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa - would go beyond the G7 group of the seven largest economies in the world, to 2030. What you see now, however, is a rift. China is still protagonist, despite the sharp slowdown, and India keeps vigor, while the economies of Russia and Brazil desandaram, with the two countries plunged into recession, and South Africa follows in the supporting role. Now, nothing indicates that the forecast will be realized. Responsible for the biggest disappointment of the acronym, Brazil pushed his future - and the BRICs - for later.

In evaluating Barry Eichengreen, Professor of Economics and Political Science, University of California, Berkeley, the idea that emerging markets have the ability to grow faster than advanced economies follows intact, though. "They will continue to represent a growing share of gross domestic product (GDP) over time. But 2030 will not grow as quickly as occurred in the last 10 years. I think 2030 can be a little too early for the date of the intersection, when emerging markets and developing countries will account for more than half of global GDP, "he said. In this postponement, Brazil plays a key role in losing the features that credenciavam part of the group. But to understand why, one must know what was the new global order. The term BRIC was created in 2001 by the English economist Jim O'Neill - who then added the letter S in reference to the entry of South Africa (in English, South Africa) - to denote the set of countries with good economic growth, political stability , labor aplenty and qualification process and reducing social inequality, among other characteristics. The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) reshaped the world of the 21st century, in his 2013 report, announcing that developing nations would take the lead in economic growth, lifting hundreds of millions out of poverty and bring billions of other integrating a new middle class. "The rise has taken place at an unprecedented speed and scale. For the first time, emerging as a whole, will be the engine of global economic growth and social change, "says the report of that year, still esteem: by 2020, the joint production of the three major economies of the BRIC countries - China, Brazil and India - have overcome the aggregate production of the United States, Germany, Britain, France, Japan, Italy and Canada.

With the crisis Brazil and Russia and the slowdown in China, this will not occur. The latest forecast of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), made ​​in October 2015, points quo GDP of the G7 will total US $ 41.9 trillion in 2020, while production of BRICS wealth will be US $ 24.7 trillion. Marcos Troyjo, director of BRICLab Columbia University, admits that there has been a disappointment. "China does not grow over 10% annually. Russia, which promised an economy in transition, with important stock of capital also had a brake. But the biggest disappointment was Brazil, due to the lack of competitive reforms, and macroeconomic barbeiragens we know, "he explains.

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