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Post by zuolun on Jan 9, 2014 14:03:18 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Jan 23, 2014 21:31:38 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Feb 4, 2014 14:31:30 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Feb 4, 2014 17:42:40 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Feb 6, 2014 12:08:37 GMT 7
"Are We At The Start Of A Bear Market?" — 6 Feb 2014 "When financial markets believe a company is doing well, its “fundamentals” improve; when markets change their mind, the actual fortunes of the company change with them." — George Soros's reflexivityYes, when the market is bearish, fundamental investors should not rush to pick up stocks. They should instead, try to understand the market and evaluate the demand and supply pressures. Cheap can become much cheaper as the market tanks. What was previously an attractive level to buy may not be so attractive anymore. Timing is also important to the fundamental investor unless one has unlimited ammunition. If you think that we are just going through a correction, then you may want to pick up more fundamentally sound stocks. On the other hand, if you think the market is going to plunge, then waiting longer makes more sense. Either way, a fundamental investor still has to have a feel of Mr Market. Put another way, if fundamental investing works and one does not need to bother about Mr Market, there will be lots more successful fundamental investors. The truth is that there are very few successful fundamental investors. Hence, there must be something much more complicated than simple fundamental investing principles. And what can be more complicated than Mr Market ......  For me, I think this is just a deep correction rather than a collapse. There are lots of fear in the market and yet, the market is holding relatively well. Only time will tell if I read Mr Market correctly.
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Post by candy188 on Feb 6, 2014 13:49:36 GMT 7
The market is so volatile, need to buckle the seat belt to endure the roller coaster ride.  Kevin Scully (NRA Capital), Thursday, 06 February 2014 : What should you do?
I think investors should not panic and wait for markets to stabilise. Watch the VIX index if it breaches 30, it's not a good sign and may trigger further weakness. For Singapore, I see the first line of major support not at 3000 but at 2900
===> but 2600 is a good level to start to seriously accumulate.
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Post by zuolun on Feb 6, 2014 15:17:09 GMT 7
STI @ 2600...Kevin Scully is more bearish than me. 
Based on chart reading, my interim target projection for the STI remains at 2668.  Immediate resistance @ 3066, next resistance @ 3104, immediate support @ 2993, next support @ 2930.  The market is so volatile, need to buckle the seat belt to endure the roller coaster ride. Kevin Scully (NRA Capital), Thursday, 06 February 2014 : What should you do?
I think investors should not panic and wait for markets to stabilise. Watch the VIX index if it breaches 30, it's not a good sign and may trigger further weakness.For Singapore, I see the first line of major support not at 3000 but at 2900
===> but 2600 is a good level to start to seriously accumulate.
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Post by zuolun on Feb 7, 2014 15:04:25 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Feb 17, 2014 8:04:47 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Feb 17, 2014 14:44:01 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Feb 24, 2014 15:37:51 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Mar 20, 2014 18:06:51 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Apr 23, 2014 15:33:26 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on May 1, 2014 14:11:53 GMT 7
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Post by odie on May 1, 2014 20:59:39 GMT 7
Summary
So because the S&P 500 experienced a -5.76% drawdown is the stock market absolutely, positively doomed to decline between May and the end of October? Of course not. But the historical odds seem to suggest that caution may be in order.zuolun Avatar May 1, 2014 15:11:53 GMT 8 zuolun said: 2014 Might Be a Good Year….to Sell in May — 30 Apr 2014 Wells Fargo’s Tracie McMillion believes the market is at a crossroads: The equity markets don’t seem to know whether they want to move up or down. Since the start of last week through Wednesday’s close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has moved up a cumulative 589 points and down a cumulative 577 points for a net gain of just 12 points. This indecision has many market observers wondering if the market rally is growing tired. But the rally was last year’s news. In 2014, major market indices are flat to down.
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