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Post by stockpicker on Jan 27, 2014 19:24:21 GMT 7
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Post by stockpicker on Jan 28, 2014 12:49:35 GMT 7
This article written by Daryl Guppy, a regular contributor to CNBC technical analysis, is saying that the uptrend in DOW is still intact although DOW will correct to the support around 15,000, which a 9.6 percent fall from the peak at 16,588. Last night, DOW dropped another 0.26% to 15,837. www.financialjuice.com/news/595768/Dont-get-down-on-the-Dow-the-uptrend-is-intact-.aspx?ref=17As a chartist, they can only tell from the charts by drawing parallel trend lines to predict the future; sometimes, they work and sometimes, they don't because the market is so dynamic that any bad or good news can offset the usual pattern and create avalanches or jumps in stock prices beyond what the normal trading patterns can tell. Do read their articles with care. |
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Post by zuolun on Jan 28, 2014 13:46:38 GMT 7
This article written by Daryl Guppy, a regular contributor to CNBC technical analysis, is saying that the uptrend in DOW is still intact although DOW will correct to the support around 15,000, which a 9.6 percent fall from the peak at 16,588. Last night, DOW dropped another 0.26% to 15,837. www.financialjuice.com/news/595768/Dont-get-down-on-the-Dow-the-uptrend-is-intact-.aspx?ref=17As a chartist, they can only tell from the charts by drawing parallel trend lines to predict the future; sometimes, they work and sometimes, they don't because the market is so dynamic that any bad or good news can offset the usual pattern and create avalanches or jumps in stock prices beyond what the normal trading patterns can tell. Do read their articles with care.
愛，見好就收 |
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Post by stockpicker on Jan 29, 2014 20:28:37 GMT 7
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Post by stockpicker on Jan 30, 2014 7:53:27 GMT 7
As Fed cuts its bond buying program, rightfully speaking, the bond price should fall and yield should go up. But this was not the case recently. When Fed announced the first tapering, the US yield went up for a moment and US markets slumped initially; soon after, the yield went down with US markets shot up. Understand later that it was caused by Fed's decision to keep interest rate low for prolonged period. Last night, similar situation but this time, yield went down together with US markets. Reasons:- "flight to quality" as investors draw from emerging markets to buy quality US Treasury Bonds. www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-29/treasuries-rise-on-refuge-demand-as-fed-taper-matches-forecast.htmlSay whatever the US analysts wanted to say, the US bonds and markets are definitely manipulated by those who wanted to see these markets going their way. In the end of the day, we should see US yields and interest rates going up as countries tightening up their monetary policies irrespective of whether Fed wanted to keep Fed rates high or low. India, Turkey and South Africa can no longer hold and had to hike their interest rates. Soon, this wave will sweep across Asia followed by the rest of the World. There is just no way that one or two countries can control the World's financial system for so long, hoping that interest rates will stay low forever. |
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Post by stockpicker on Jan 30, 2014 15:27:07 GMT 7
India, Turkey, South Africa & Brazil have hiked interest rates unexpectedly. They have one thing in common i.e. their currencies are all time low as compared to 2008. They attributed these to funds flowing out of the countries and therefore, increase interest rate in an attempt to stem this flow. This is quite logical. If we are to compare the currencies across Asia, we can immediately see that most Asian countries are in healthy state for the time being except for Japan. Japanese Yen has been rising quickly recently due to the heavy stimulus. How long the rates of these countries will stay low is still anybody's guess but it is good to monitor the currencies if your investments are interest rate sensitive for example stock market & property..  |
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Post by oldman on Feb 4, 2014 5:41:00 GMT 7
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Post by candy188 on Feb 4, 2014 9:33:19 GMT 7
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Post by me200 on Feb 4, 2014 9:53:42 GMT 7
Fear is your friend  , not enemy  .
Think contrarian. 
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Post by candy188 on Feb 4, 2014 9:59:49 GMT 7
Hi me200, thank you for the reminder to maintain a rational mind in turbulence times. Mr. Market is there to SERVE you,  NOT to Guide you.
Fear is your FRIEND , not enemy .
Think Contrarian.
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Post by stockpicker on Feb 5, 2014 10:59:43 GMT 7
The comparison between DJI, HSI, SSEC, CRB & STI shows the positions of various indexes. As pointed out earlier, DJI, DJT and CRB are in a value chain and they should go hand in hand i.e when they wandered, they should eventually meet. skyjuiceiswater.blogspot.sg/2014/01/whats-wrong-with-this-chart.htmlIf we were to take CRB as a norm, here we will see DJI has wandered up and there is a lot of rooms for corrections. As for HSI, a correction is nearly done. STI and SSEC may have over-corrected and should pull up.. Please note that the above assumed that that CRB is the norm and it might not be the case. However, one can see that the indexes, except for DJI under the influence of QEs (alcohol ?), are always pulling back to meet CRB after they have wandered around.  |
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Post by zuolun on Feb 5, 2014 13:40:50 GMT 7
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Post by zuolun on Feb 5, 2014 16:45:05 GMT 7
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Post by stockpicker on Feb 6, 2014 8:03:16 GMT 7
Dead Cross and Lost Hope appearing at the same time. Hope DOW can recover; but without the QEs and stimulus, it could be impossible.  |
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Post by stockpicker on Feb 9, 2014 15:33:51 GMT 7
US markets have been up triple digits in the last 2 sessions and gained more than 2%. Is it time to jump into the boat?  This VIX chart is clearly telling us to wait as "2 swallows does not mean summer is here". This is especially when they are caused by bad job reports giving speculations that Fed might reverse its course. According to Richard Fisher, one of the FOMC voting member, Fed's decision would not be swayed by a single number as Fed would consider other factors such as weathers, inflation, GDP etc. www.cnbc.com/id/101398821 |
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, not enemy 
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